Arch Manning is the betting favorite to be the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL draft

Arch Manning is the betting favorite to be the first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, with odds currently at +225 — a projection that would make the Texas quarterback the third Manning to hear his name called first overall.

The Manning family legacy at the top of the draft is unmatched in NFL history. Arch's uncles, Peyton and Eli Manning, were selected first overall in 1998 and 2004 respectively. His grandfather, Archie Manning, went second overall in 1971. If the projection holds, the Mannings would become the first family to produce three first-overall picks.

Arch Manning's first season as Texas's starting quarterback drew mixed reviews. His raw numbers did not jump off the page, but NFL evaluators are betting on his physical tools — arm strength, mobility, and the prototypical frame that scouts covet in franchise quarterbacks. The family pedigree adds an intangible: Manning has been around NFL facilities his entire life and understands the demands of the position in ways most college quarterbacks cannot.

The next-closest contender is Oregon quarterback Dante Moore at +380, followed by Notre Dame's CJ Carr at +750 and South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers at +1200. The top non-quarterback on the board is Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah Smith at +1600 — a reflection of the NFL's continued obsession with the quarterback position above all else.

The 2027 draft class is expected to be quarterback-heavy at the top, with Miami's Darian Mensah, Ohio State's Julian Sayin, and Oklahoma State's Drew Mestemaker all appearing in the top-10 odds. South Carolina edge rusher Dylan Stewart and Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons represent the defensive alternatives.

What This Means For You: If you follow college football or the NFL Draft, the Manning storyline will dominate headlines for the next year. For Texas fans, Arch's development this upcoming season will be the most-watched storyline in college football. For bettors, +225 offers decent value if you believe the Manning name and NFL tools hold — but a full college season of tape could shift these odds dramatically. Watch Texas's early-season matchups; how Manning performs against top defenses will move the board faster than anything else.